The Resulting Fallacy Is Ruining Your Decisions
http://nautil.us/issue/55/trust/the-resulting-fallacy-is-ruining-your-decisions [nautil.us]
2019-07-23 02:33
In it, Duke parlays her experience with cards into general lessons about decision making that are relevant for all of us. If a well-reasoned decision leads to a negative outcome, was it the wrong decision? How do we distinguish between luck and skill? And how do we move beyond our cognitive biases?